Back in September 2019, I published two reports warning that America was a powder keg waiting on a trigger event, which would likely occur by mid-2020.
That trigger event came in…
Good afternoon. Here’s your Economic Early Warning Report for Friday, 17 October 2025.
Top of Mind: BofA’s October GFM snapshot
Bank of America published their Global Fund Manager (GFM) survey for October,…
Good afternoon. Here’s your Economic Early Warning Report for Friday, 12 September 2025.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Despite bad August jobs numbers, virtually no bank is talking about recession, while many expect trendline…
Good afternoon. Mike Shelby here, and here's whats on my Radar...
Yesterday, I met with the leaders of my county's largest political group.
We talked for 3.5 hours about a local strategy…
Good morning. Mike Shelby here, and here's whats on my Radar...
"If we're not organizing, we're going to lose."
I'm giving an important presentation to the leaders of my county's largest political…
A Color Revolution is a coordinated campaign to force political change (revolution) by mobilizing mass protests; undermining government legitimacy, authority, and capacity; and persuading citizens, elites, and institutions to withdraw…
Early Warning / Forward Observer Members -
The new site is at initial operating capacity while we develop intelligence tools for 2026 and beyond. This is a custom-built platform that we…
Good afternoon! Forward Observer CEO Mike Shelby here.
Bottom Line Up Front: We’re about to improve your Early Warning experience and make your access to national and geopolitical intelligence faster and…