Good afternoon. Here’s your Economic Early Warning Report for Friday, 17 October 2025.
Top of Mind: BofA’s October GFM snapshot
Bank of America published their Global Fund Manager (GFM) survey for October,…
Mike
Good afternoon. Here’s your Economic Early Warning Report for Friday, 12 September 2025.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Despite bad August jobs numbers, virtually no bank is talking about recession, while many expect trendline…
Good afternoon. Mike Shelby here, and here's whats on my Radar...
Yesterday, I met with the leaders of my county's largest political group.
We talked for 3.5 hours about a local strategy…
Good morning. Mike Shelby here, and here's whats on my Radar...
"If we're not organizing, we're going to lose."
I'm giving an important presentation to the leaders of my county's largest political…
A Color Revolution is a coordinated campaign to force political change (revolution) by mobilizing mass protests; undermining government legitimacy, authority, and capacity; and persuading citizens, elites, and institutions to withdraw…
Early Warning / Forward Observer Members -
The new site is at initial operating capacity while we develop intelligence tools for 2026 and beyond. This is a custom-built platform that we…
Good afternoon! Forward Observer CEO Mike Shelby here.
Bottom Line Up Front: We’re about to improve your Early Warning experience and make your access to national and geopolitical intelligence faster and…
How Countries Go Broke
By Ray Dalio
389ppg, 2025
Avid Reader Press
Ray Dalio has shared a lot of smart things. The smartest by far is how he tackles complex and uncertain situations:…