A Color Revolution is a coordinated campaign to force political change (revolution) by mobilizing mass protests; undermining government legitimacy, authority, and capacity; and persuading citizens, elites, and institutions to withdraw…
This is a summary of War in 140 Characters: How Social Media is Reshaping Conflict in the Twenty-first Century by David Patrikarakos. We’re providing a summary of this book because…
Early Warning / Forward Observer Members -
The new site is at initial operating capacity while we develop intelligence tools for 2026 and beyond. This is a custom-built platform that we…
Good afternoon! Forward Observer CEO Mike Shelby here.
Bottom Line Up Front: We’re about to improve your Early Warning experience and make your access to national and geopolitical intelligence faster and…
How Countries Go Broke
By Ray Dalio
389ppg, 2025
Avid Reader Press
Ray Dalio has shared a lot of smart things. The smartest by far is how he tackles complex and uncertain situations:…
// National Intelligence Bulletin to follow.
(1) Imminent Risk
Israel-Iran: Last Friday, an Israeli strike on Iran was moved from Elevated to Imminent Risk due to the growing likelihood. Last night, Israel…
How should the Trump administration combat the LA riots, especially if/when they spread to other cities?
In short: RICO, RICO, RICO.
The problem: You will never run…
CNN is now confirming what I posted on Saturday night -- that an active duty…