Intelligence Drives the Fight


Mission Statement:  Deliver high impact intelligence to shape a real-world, ground level understanding of America’s likely tumultuous future.

We believe that conflict is in America’s near future.

Our veterans of U.S. Special Operations and Intelligence have lived and operated in overseas conflicts, and are able to find the signal in the noise to reduce uncertainty about America’s volatile future.

We use evidenced-based reasoning and structured analytic techniques to think clearly about the future of American conflict.

We challenge status quo thinking about instability, collapse, systems disruption, and conflict through weekly analysis and intelligence reporting. We have a proven track record of offering high level, accurate insights and perspectives.

Increase your situational understanding, make better decisions, and reduce your uncertainty about the future.


We’re Forward Observer, an Intelligence services company specializing in threat intelligence, trend analysis, conflict monitoring, and applied intelligence training.


Our Staff

Samuel Culper is a former military intelligence NCO and civilian intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan as a soldier and contractor, and now runs the intelligence shop here at Forward Observer.

Frost is a former infantry and special operations soldier with over 25 years of military and civilian experience, including several combat deployments. He’s trained members of the U.S. military, DIA, NSA, CIA, and law enforcement in combat tactics and tradecraft skills. He currently teaches combat tactics and tradecraft for Combat Studies Group, and develops digital security devices for GrayMatter Tools.

Daniel Johnson is a former Marine infantry scout section leader, and company close quarters battle and enhanced marksmanship program instructor. After being discharged from the Marine Corps, Daniel went to work for the State Department’s Worldwide Protective Services program where he served on a principal recovery and extraction team, as well as an advance and tactical site survey team. After sustaining a serious injury from an enemy attack in Baghdad, he was forced to return home. He’s now learning the ropes of multi-discipline intelligence collection and all-source analysis.