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Good morning, and welcome to the Global Situation Report for Tuesday, 16 July 2024. Why It Matters:Direct communication between the heads of state to de-escalate low-level encounters shows how seriously lower-level communications have failed. Based on historical actions, I expect the Chinese to be unresponsive or to employ “Wolf Warrior” diplomacy when the Filipinos do […]

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Good morning, and welcome to the Global Situation Report for Monday, 15 July 2024. Why It Matters: This is a similar playbook to the Chinese and appears to offer the Pacific Islanders a way to maintain trade with China while not having to necessarily side with the United States or Taiwan. Effectively, the Japanese are offering […]

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Good morning, and welcome to the Global Situation Report for Friday, 12 July 2024. Why It Matters: Russian leaders have for weeks promised reprisals for Ukrainian attacks using U.S. weapons against Russian territory. If this report is true, it’s an ominous sign for escalation against the West. – M.S. THAT’S A WRAP: This does it for […]

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Good morning, and welcome to the Global Situation Report for Thursday, 11 July 2024. Why It Matters: These tactics have worked for years in the Philippines and the Chinese are likely running it elsewhere. The Chinese will likely respond with harsh rhetoric, to be followed by increasing grayzone warfare if the Philippines begins deporting Chinese and […]

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