Good morning. Here’s your Daily Situational Awareness for Friday, 30 September 2022.
PUTIN: WEST LAYING FOUNDATION FOR FUTURE CONFLICTS: In a meeting with the intelligence chiefs of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries, Russian President Vladimir Putin accused the west of fomenting conflicts in former Soviet countries to maintain its political hegemony. Citing Ukraine and the attack on the Russian embassy in Kabul, Putin claimed the western countries (characterized as “our opponents”) were actively engaged in preparing to instigate “color revolutions” and unleash “bloody massacres” designed to turn each CIS country into a “ground zero of a crisis” to advance western political agendas. To counter this threat Putin called on CIS countries to stand together and improve cooperation amongst intelligence and security services to secure the commonwealth’s informational space to improve peace and stability by strengthening national sovereignty and integration.
EUROPE’S ENERGY CRUNCH COULD KNOCK OUT MOBILE PHONE NETWORKS: Europe’s coming energy crunch this winter could also result in mobile communication network outages. While the halt of Russian energy imports will put a significant crimp in energy availability, the situation will be made worse by France shutting down two nuclear power plants for long-term repairs. The result is expected to be widespread general blackouts. Europe’s telecom infrastructure does not have enough backup energy capacity to handle widespread blackouts, resulting in network outages.
PUTIN ANNEXES UKRAINIAN TERRITORIES, INFORMS PARLIAMENT: In a move denounced by western governments and Kyiv, Russian President Vladimir Putin informed Russia’s Parliament of the annexation of occupied territories in Ukraine. Western officials as well as several Russian allies, including Serbia, said they will refuse to recognize the annexations which violate international law and the UN Charter. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres called the move a “dangerous escalation”. EU and White House officials have announced new upcoming sanctions that will impart a “severe economic cost” on Russia.
POLAND: NATO WILL INTERVENE IN UKRAINE IF RUSSIA USES NUKES: Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau announced that NATO would be “forced to intervene” if Russia conducted a nuclear strike in Ukraine. Rau said such an occurrence would violate the consensus of NATO’s Security Council and trigger a “devastating” response with conventional weaponry. Rau characterized his comments not as a threat but as a “clear signal” to Russia of NATO resolve.
In today’s Early Warning, Mike takes a look at the White House plans to escalate the gray zone war against Russia, plus the team provides additional domestic reporting and geopolitical analysis. Get access to the full Early Warning report here: https://forwardobserver.com/subscribe