Warning Signs: What today’s “A15” protests tell us about the U.S. election – Forward Observer

Warning Signs: What today’s “A15” protests tell us about the U.S. election

Bottom Line Up Front: Today’s “A15” — April 15th — protests are actually a reprise of 2020-era Far Left revolutionary organizing. I explain why it matters in this week’s Radar.

Today is a Far Left “day of action” in support of Palestine.

There will be protests and probably some limited disruption.

No big deal, right?

But what if I told you that the truth is far more insidious?

There’s a lot more here than meets the eye.

The “A15” Day of Action

Pro-Palestine activists are expected to block U.S. economic choke points, such as sea ports, airports, and key traffic intersections, as part of the April 15th “A15” day of action.

Ports in Long Beach, Los Angeles, Oakland, Houston, Philadelphia, and other key economic infrastructure are possible targets for protests and other forms of direct action.

According to their statement, activists intend “to disrupt and blockade economic logistical hubs and the flow of capital” to urge governments around the world to support Palestine.

That’s what we’re being told, anyway.

And now… the rest of the story.

But this is actually a reprise of efforts from Antifa and the Far Left revolutionary class we saw in 2020.

These activists and militants were making plans to oust then-President Donald Trump if he stayed in office.

Their plan was to effectively shut down the U.S. economy to force Trump out of the White House.

Activists publicly stated they would keep the economy disrupted until Trump caved to public pressure and resigned. That was their plan and probably still is.

Starting in January 2020, Far Left militants began circulating a pamphlet called “Chokepoints in a Fragile Network” (image below).

Quoting directly from the document:

“This pamphlet shows the transportation network that corporations use to move goods into the United States from around the world… The veins of this network reveal where workers have power; the shipping lanes, ports, highways, and rail lines that connect U.S. cities and towns…”

And how do I know all this?

Because I wrote thousands of intelligence reports on Far Left militant and revolutionary activity from 2016 to 2021.

(By the way, should I release this report archive in a book? Reply to this email and let me know if you’re interested.)

The people and groups pushing A15 are the same people who organized and participated in the attempted 2020 Far Left popular revolution.

So what does this tell us?

First, the goal is not just to get the U.S. to end support for Israel and increase support to Palestine.

They won’t succeed, but this would be a huge win for the anti-colonialist and Far Left movements.

Second, like the 2020 popular revolution attempt, this movement almost certainly has foreign backing.

I won’t go into the evidence here, however, I will say that the U.S. Army began warning in December 2020 that foreign adversaries would use “unconventional means” — to include protest groups and trans-national criminal organizations — to target the United States.

Funding dissident groups and fomenting protests are two ways you drive a domestic low-intensity conflict.

In other words, it’s how you prosecute a “gray zone” war against the United States without going to war.

The goal of these adversaries is not to actually topple the U.S. Government, but to cause political, economic, and psychological damage, which it has.

And third, the U.S. election is less than seven months away.

Mass mobilizations aren’t something you “cold start” in November.

Organizers have to start applying accelerators of conflict to turn the temperature up.

So it’s not surprising to see these organizing efforts being reprised now — seven months before Trump might be re-elected — when we haven’t seen anything like this in the past three and a half years.

A15 may be focused on pro-Palestine activism…

But the people behind it are building a movement to unleash against a pro-Israel Trump administration, if Trump were to be elected again.

There’s a little more to it than this, but let’s leave it here for now.

Until next time, be well and stay out front.

Always Out Front,

Mike Shelby

P.S. — If you want a daily roll-up of upcoming protest and civil unrest locations, join the Early Warning Network. Get briefed on the day’s threat and hazards, and plug into the Early Warning community before things pop off later this year.

Mike Shelby is a former Intelligence NCO and contractor. He's now the CEO of Forward Observer.


  1. Mike, great observations. I detail this exact port scenario on this exact date in the first chapter of my bestseller ENEMY AT THE HELM, published last October. I’ll be happy to send you a copy if you want.

    And yes, I would love to see a chronology of your intelligence reports, particularly if you can identify and summarize the common factors that led to violent actions or changed policy.

  2. The report archive/book would be fascinating reading. I’m sad to say that a majority of people I know have no idea what is pointed at them, or how dangerous the run-up to this election will be. President Trump will be blamed for any violence and it could be open season on his supporters.

  3. Your explanatioon of this makes a lot of sense. They need a trigger for disruption and violence and Gaza is currently it. i pray there will be no more “incidents” like George Floyd to further stir things up.

      1. It doesn’t matter what he died of. His death was the trigger for a summer of rioting and violence. That was the point I was making.

  4. Yes publish the investigation.
    Publish the findings.
    Publish known methodologies as well
    I’d be interested in the rabbit hole you went down into and some tactics of tradecraft.
    How deep does the deep state go into both ends of this?
    Are these Intel reports used to help these groups iyo or were they to catch and thwart groups of disruption with causes and agendas akin to terrorist groups?
    What if any US govt intel agencies and had these reports contained any?
    With reference to what, if any, known government spy operations and exactly when?
    I’d be looking for these types of trails.
    Happy one…

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