24 JUN 16 – Executive Intelligence Summary


The SHTF Indicators section answers our Priority Intelligence Requirements. Appendix: Collection of acronyms and definitions used.

In this EXSUM…

  • USG playing catch up to cyber threats
  • #Brexit results are in!
  • NATO & Russian militaries warming up
  • Republican National Convention safety concerns


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Samuel Culper is a former military intelligence NCO and contract Intelligence analyst. He spent three years in Iraq and Afghanistan and is now the intelligence and warfare researcher at Forward Observer.


  1. About Brexit: What’s that old saying about when a ship catches on fire, the first rats to jump off are the best swimmers? I think the best swimming rats just jumped off the EU Ship. The only reason the Germans will not jump off the ship is because someone put those rats in charge of the wheel house. But the best swimming rats who are left on board next to the British and the Germans are the Dutch and they may go next. I think what the real risk is that the Euro currency and ECB are a failure and at some point that will fall apart. When it does, then the real economic problems start. When the Greeks were being limited in their ATM withdrawals and cash was in short supply, I got to thinking about what would happen if there was a situation like that here with the banks closed and long lines for limited money at ATMs? The whole Euro zone could face the same kind of problem in a year or two. I think it might be time to start stuffing $5 bills into empty dog biscuit boxes.

    The immigration issues are as much a symptom of the angst that British and Europeans have about the EU as it is a side show, a red herring, designed to distract and keep people from pondering the real problems that lie ahead over there.

    1. At first, I thought EU immigration was to prop up the tax base. But immigrants typically are net-takers of government programs. They drain the system and suppress wages. I think immigration to the West is actually about dissolving nationalism. Open borders, it’s what’s for dinner.

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